Prediction Market Trader

About Our Client

Our client is a proprietary trading firm focused on liquid digital asset markets, combining quantitative research, market structure insight, and disciplined risk management. They operate in a lean, high-performance environment with real ownership of capital and outcomes, and are expanding into prediction markets where strong traders can quickly build and scale edge.

About the Role

Our client is looking for a Prediction Market Trader to take direct ownership of capital, risk, and performance.

This is a high-conviction seat where you will run strategies, manage live positions, and be fully accountable for PnL.

They are open to both systematic and discretionary approaches, as long as your edge is real, repeatable, and proven in live trading.

What You’ll Do

• Own PnL and risk across prediction market strategies
• Identify and execute event-driven trading opportunities
• Develop and refine systematic or discretionary strategies
• Apply probabilistic thinking, data analysis, and market structure insight to pricing inefficiencies
• Continuously improve performance through trade review, attribution, and iteration
• Collaborate with researchers and engineers to enhance execution, tooling, and infrastructure

What We’re Looking For

• Proven live trading track record in prediction markets
• Clear ownership of capital, risk, and execution decisions
• Demonstrated ability to perform consistently across market regimes
• Deep understanding of:
  • Prediction market mechanics
  • Liquidity and execution dynamics
  • Event-driven pricing
  • Behavioral inefficiencies
• A structured process across:
  • Idea generation
  • Position sizing
  • Risk management
  • Post-trade analysis

Strong Preference

• Experience at a top-tier trading firm, hedge fund, betting market operation, or prediction market platform
• Background in high-performance, PnL-driven environments