Trader / Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets & Events-Driven Trading

Dubai, UAE | Full-time | Reports to the Senior Portfolio Manager

The opportunity

Our client, a Dubai-based family office and multi-strategy investment firm, is launching a dedicated events-driven trading desk focused on prediction markets and event contracts. Our client is seeking a founding Trader / Portfolio Manager to design, launch and scale the desk.

Working directly with our client’s senior management, you will shape strategy, build the research and execution stack, establish risk frameworks and help define future hires. Capital allocation is discretionary and scales with demonstrated risk-adjusted performance.

Responsibilities

• Develop and run alpha-generating strategies across prediction markets and event contracts, spanning esports, sports, politics, macro, economics and entertainment.
• Build probability, pricing and forecasting models; backtest and validate edges; translate research into live positions.
• Identify mispricings through cross-venue and related-market arbitrage, information advantages, liquidity provision and market making.
• Own your book’s P&L, with disciplined position sizing, drawdown limits and exposure management.
• Build data pipelines, execution tools, monitoring and reporting alongside our client’s senior management.
• Help recruit future traders, researchers and engineers, and report performance, attribution and risk to the Senior Portfolio Manager.

Requirements

• A proven, verifiable positive P&L track record in prediction markets, with evidence of live trading results.
• Strong quantitative research and trading skills: statistical modelling, probability, forecasting, backtesting and rigorous separation of signal from noise.
• Original alpha ideas and the ability to explain the edge, risks and scalability of each strategy.
• Strong programming ability, preferably Python, plus SQL; experience with APIs, data engineering and automated execution is a strong advantage.
• Deep understanding of event-market microstructure, including fees, liquidity, order books, settlement and resolution risk.
• An owner’s mindset, with the autonomy and accountability to build a desk from zero.

Preferred background

• Experience at a proprietary trading firm, hedge fund, quantitative investment firm, sportsbook trading desk or comparable environment.
• Live production experience with automated or systematic strategies.
• Experience building or managing a small team, or a clear vision for doing so.

What our client offers

• A founding seat with direct access to senior decision-makers and influence over strategy, technology and hiring.
• Discretionary capital allocation that grows with performance.
• Competitive compensation with meaningful performance-linked participation in the P&L you generate.
• A Dubai base connecting Asian, European and US market hours.

How to apply

Apply through Blockchain Headhunter with your CV, a concise prediction-market track record covering venues, trading period, capital deployed, returns and drawdowns, and a short note on one or two strategies you would run from day one.

Applications are treated in strict confidence. Shortlisted candidates should be prepared to verify their track record.